There was once again another op-ed in the New York times last week bemoaning the US's low savings rate and how other developed nations in Europe are saving a lot more. The author pointed to a data that savings rates have recently fallen below 4 percent. So I wondered where that info would have come and stumbled upon the data on the Bureau of economic analysis website (http://www.bea.gov/iTable/iTable.cfm?ReqID=9&step=1, abbreviated data attached below).
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/ 11/25/opinion/why-we-spend- why-they-save.html
This is aggregate savings rate and doesn't tell us anything about the more important inter-generational savings rate. Let's make a bullet list of why we need to save in general:
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/
[Billions of dollars] Seasonally
adjusted at annual rates
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Bureau of Economic Analysis
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Last Revised on: November 22, 2011
- Next Release Date December 22, 2011
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Line
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2011
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|||
I
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II
|
III
|
||
27
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Disposable personal income
|
11,481
|
11,559
|
11,565
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28
|
Less: Personal outlays
|
10,902
|
11,003
|
11,131
|
29
|
Personal consumption expenditures
|
10,572
|
10,676
|
10,799
|
30
|
Personal interest payments /3/
|
160
|
156
|
160
|
31
|
Personal current transfer payments
|
170
|
171
|
172
|
32
|
To government
|
97
|
97
|
98
|
33
|
To the rest of the world (net)
|
74
|
74
|
74
|
34
|
Equals: Personal saving
|
579
|
557
|
435
|
35
|
Personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income
|
5.0%
|
4.8%
|
3.8%
|
This is aggregate savings rate and doesn't tell us anything about the more important inter-generational savings rate. Let's make a bullet list of why we need to save in general:
- To tide over any short-term job loss. My rule of thumb would be 6 months of earnings. You can't save for long-term unemployment - long-term unemployment is due to structural problems in the society and a savings rate boost won't cure it.
- To pay for a big expense in the future that can be forseen today - like kid's college education. Again rule of thumb would be to have atleast 50% of each kid's college expense saved by the time they enter college.
- To pay for the down-payment on a home - the 0% down-payment days are gone, but one can still get decent mortgage rates with a 10% down. Again a savings goal could be to have the downpayment saved in say 5 years time.
- To tide over some unexpected expenses that happen every now and then. This could be for a hospital stay, a car repair, a home repair etc. Rule of thumb would be like one month of pay. You are not going to save for a Cancer care or a heart surgery - one has to have insurance coverage to pay most of those kind of high dollar expenses.
- Save for Retirement - this is the biggie. This topic is worth several blog articles. One has to be reasonable on it - everybody can't retire at 55, can't retire in the Caribbean islands, can't expect a lavish lifestyle. I see a lot of bank websites that show huge amounts of retirement money needed on their retirement calculators.
1 comment:
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